OVERVIEW: Warm front continues to hang close by keeping the threat for showers and maybe a few thunderstorms around this afternoon and evening. Cold front swings through tomorrow and may trigger a few isolated showers. It will be followed by cooler temps for Friday into Saturday. An upper level trough hangs around with pieces of energy rotating through which may trigger a few stray showers for Friday and perhaps Saturday although both days will see a fair amount of dry hours. Ridge replaces the upper level trough and allows a gradual warming trend for the second half of the weekend leading into the Memorial Day holiday. Next chance for showers and storms will return Tuesday and Wednesday.
EVENING FORECAST: Showers and storms possible. Some storms could get a bit feisty to our southwest and will need to be watched closely. Storm Prediction Center has our southwest counties under a slight risk for severe storms this afternoon and evening. Main concern will be wind damage and hail. Isolated tornado is also possible. If we get some sunshine to poke through, it will help to ignite stronger storms. Temperatures hold steady in the middle 60s.
OVERNIGHT: Few showers still possible, patchy fog may also develop as temps fall close to the dewpoint, lows will be mild around 60.
THURSDAY: Starting with some sunshine but clouds will mix back in and there is still a threat for a few showers and storms as a cold front sweeps through. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the area in a slight risk for severe weather. Main threat will be hail, damaging winds and heavy rainfall. Highs will be warm should make to the upper 70s to near 80 degrees. Skies will clear late and temps will fall back to the middle 50s by Friday morning.
END OF THE WEEK: Upper level trough starts to dig back in. With upper level impulses riding through the base, we could see a few isolated showers Friday. Certainly plenty of dry hours as there will not be a lot of moisture to work with. Highs Friday upper 60s to near 70.
HOLIDAY WEEKEND OUTLOOK: Saturday rain threat is looking less and less but it remains a few degrees below normal with a mix of clouds and sunshine and highs around 70. Trough loses grip over the northeast as a ridge of high pressure starts to build in. Temperatures really warm Sunday to the mid and upper 70s and even warmer Monday for the Memorial Day holiday to the low 80s degrees under plenty of sunshine! Tuesday highs will still be warm in the low to mid 80s, despite the threat for a few afternoon showers and storms. Wednesday the storm threat continues but temperatures will be cooler in the upper 70s.
Have a nice evening!
MaryEllen Pann, Chief Meteorologist
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