YORK, Pa. — The hot stove is heating up as MLB's Free Agency market takes shape.
Each year, five days after the completion of the World Series, qualifying players enter MLB's free agent market and have the ability to sign with any of the clubs that offer them a deal.
The concept of free agency was meant as a means of competitive balance for the sport, but for the fans, it has become a rite of passage and something that baseball diehards look forward to each winter, when there are no games to pass the time.
Every year after free agency opens, MLBTradeRumors, a website that covers and compiles coverage of Major League Baseball's teams and their transactions, releases its annual Top 50 Free Agent Prediction List.
In recent years, with the list's growth in popularity, the baseball website turned predicting the top free agents' destinations into a contest, with winners able to take home bragging rights.
As such, here is our FOX43 Sports entry to the MLBTradeRumors Top 50 Free Agent Prediction List contest:
1. Shohei Ohtani Twelve years, $515M - Los Angeles Dodgers
Ohtani is likely going to break records this free agency, as a player who can both hit and pitch. Of course, he will only hit in 2024 due to recovery from Tommy John surgery, but the expectation is that he will return to pitching in 2025.
The Dodgers have been long rumored to be saving their payroll to fit Ohtani, who would create a formidable three-some with Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman atop of the Los Angeles lineup, and give the team a staff ace in 2025.
I expect only the "big" payroll teams to be in on Ohtani, meaning the teams in New York, the Boston Red Sox, and Chicago Cubs are the only serious suitors I see for the top player on the market.
Alex's Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers
He didn't have the team success he wanted with Angles, but he's comfortable in Southern California. Think of the deal that L.A. gave Mookie, spacing out a big number over many years. He loves to compete and the Dodgers love the cameras and the international attention, Ohtani brings both. I can only imagine what his price tag would be if he didn't tear his UCL.
2. Cody Bellinger Ten years, $260M - San Francisco Giants
The Giants will be looking to make a splash this offseason after missing out on Carlos Correa and Aaron Judge last year.
The team is in dire need of a bat, and should have the money to add one of the top options available.
Bellinger is a West Coast guy and has familiarity in the division, and I'm not sure anyone will outbid the Giants for him.
Alex's Pick: Chicago Cubs
I wanted to imagine a reunion between him and the Dodgers, but with the money I think they'll give Ohtani, Bellinger stays in Chicago, gets a nice payday, and helps the Cubs to keep building in the right direction. He was their best hitter last season, and they'll pay him like it.
3. Yoshinobu Yamamoto Eight years, $200M - New York Yankees
Yamamoto is about to get paid, and the Yankees are ripe with cash with a dire need for starting pitching help.
The Japanese righthander is being projected as the best pitcher to ever come from overseas, and the Yankees have had success with acclimating such pitchers into their rotation, like Masahiro Tanaka in 2014.
Of course, Yamamoto will require his signing team to pay a posting fee, leaving me feeling like only the "big" market clubs will be able to acquire his services.
Alex's Pick: New York Mets
Last year's big-money signings didn't work out. Tried Scherzer before trading him after an injury, so they could go younger. There's less hesitation with pitchers from Japan given their success in this league, Mets are not afraid to open the checkbook. Truly has 6 pitches, But is his 5' 10" really an issue, or just nitpicking by scouts.
4. Blake Snell Eight years, $200M - Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox are another team in dire need of rotation help, and have plenty of familiarity with Snell, who pitched for the Tampa Bay Rays for several years to begin his career.
Snell used his platform year before free agency to have a Cy Young worthy year, setting himself up for a big payday.
I think the Red Sox ante up to add the lefthander to their rotation.
Alex's Pick: Philadelphia Phillies
Will they sign Aaron Nola? Four years and 100 million apart last time around. Snell is about to get another Cy Young award, doesn't get as rattled as Nola with runners on base, and there's a bar the Phillies have to maintain.
5. Aaron Nola Six years, $165M - Philadelphia Phillies
This comes down to me thinking Nola wants to be in Philadelphia.
I believe he likely receives a higher offer from a team like St. Louis, but I think the career long Phillie would sacrifice just a few dollars to secure his future with Philadelphia.
Alex's Pick: Baltimore Orioles
Still has strong command and isn't too far removed from his '22 Cy Young season. Baltimore didn't just take a step last season, they went from learning to crawl, to an all-out sprint. A lot of their questions came with how their pitching stack would up against a contender in a best of 5 or 7 games series. Nola would certainly help that argument.
6. Jordan Montgomery Six years, $150M - St. Louis Cardinals
I don't think the Cardinals necessarily wanted to move on from Montgomery at the 2023 Trade Deadline, but due to the chance he could leave in free agency and St. Louis not being competitive, it was a prudent move to acquire prospects from the Texas Rangers for his services.
Now, I expect the Cardinals to be active in the starting pitching market, and bring back a pitcher they are already familiar with.
Alex's Pick: Boston Red Sox
Just won the World Series with Texas. Came up with the Yankees system, so Boston has seen him up close. As we saw in the postseason, he's a solid pitcher that gets ahead in the count. He's been consistent throughout his career and Boston is in need of pitching.
7. Matt Chapman Six years, $130M - San Francisco Giants
After adding Bellinger in free agency, I don't think the Giants will hesitate to bring in Chapman to play third base, creating a nice left-right combo for San Francisco.
Of course, Chapman has familiarity with the Giants new manager, Bob Melvin, who previously managed him in Oakland.
I think that helps a deal come together.
Alex's Pick: Milwaukee Brewers
Home run production dropped for Chapman last season, but he was up there in doubles, so it's not like he's lacking contact. I know he's a priority for the Blue Jays, but he's also a Boras guy, so that doesn't matter. Milwaukee is a club that's been desperate for a quality player at third over the past few years. He'd be an automatic improvement.
8. Josh Hader Six years, $100M - Texas Rangers
The Achilles' heel of the World Series Champion throughout the regular season was its bullpen.
Texas is in a unique position from most teams entering this offseason in that they have a lot of starting pitching depth, and I think that allows the team to focus on its bullpen, bringing in the top arm on the market.
Alex's Pick: Philadelphia Phillies
One of if not the best relievers in baseball. Kimbrel left a sour taste in Philly's mouth. No one's ready to talk windows with Philly at this point, but it's clear they're not messing around. Bringing in Hader would send an even bigger message to the rest of the league.
9. Sonny Gray Four years, $90M - Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays figure to look to add a starting pitcher, a corner outfielder, and a third baseman.
I think Toronto will look to grab a pitcher like Gray, as someone who is in his prime, ready to help a team compete, but shouldn't break the bank or need to long of a commitment.
Alex's Pick: St. Louis Cardinals
I know the Twins have made a qualifying offer, and I've even heard the Phillies connected to Gray. I think St. Louis will have missed on some bigger pitching free agents, so they might throw a little more Gray's way than others are willing. He's from Tennessee and has made it known he wants to be closer to home. Braves don't have the money, so I'm leaning Cards.
10. Shota Imanaga Five years, $65M - New York Mets
The Mets are coming off a year where the team added Kodai Senga into its rotation, and he had a great rookie season.
With the team not necessarily looking for contention in 2024, I think they look to add to the starting rotation, but aim not to tie themselves down with a long term commitment.
Enter Imanaga who can get acclimated to the U.S. with Senga, and provide a veteran option in the rotation for New York.
Alex's Pick: New York Yankees
Another player that's profile was raised by the World Baseball Classic, Japan's top pitcher will have a big market when he's eventually posted. New York needs pitching to rebound from one of their worst seasons in decades. The Yankees wouldn't have to worry about draft pick compensation for a signing like this so it's more attractive to them, but will cost them money, which hasn't been an issue for them before.
11. Eduardo Rodriguez Four years, $85M - Chicago Cubs
Chicago will aim to be a playoff team in 2024, and will look to add to the rotation.
With a number of other holes to fill, I think they play towards this middle tier of the free agent starting pitching market, and bring in Rodriguez on a reasonable deal to create a formidable rotation for the Cubs.
Alex's Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers
Moving on from The Tigers with three years left on his deal, Rodriquez knows the market for starting pitching. While San Francisco has been active early, the Dodgers tried to get him at the deadline last season, but Rodriguez used his no-trade clause. The Dodgers have holes when it comes to pitching, whether it's from free agency or injuries. Los Angeles eventually gets their guy, but at Rodriguez's price.
12. Teoscar Hernandez Four years, $80M - Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox are likely to reshuffle their outfield picture this offseason, and need to add a righthanded bat with some pop to their lineup.
Hernandez's bat should play well at Fenway Park, as he's a career .282 hitter with 14 HR's in 45 games played there as a visitor.
Now, I expect Hernandez to be a member of the home team for a few years, creating a nice trio between himself, Rafael Devers, and Triston Casas.
Alex's Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers
After not getting a qualifying offer from Seattle, Hernandez. It seems like every free agent is connected to the Dodgers in some way, shape, and form. Los Angeles has great pieces in place, but need more players that can provide a spark when needed, like their cold bats that we saw in the playoffs against Arizona.
13. Jeimer Candelario Four years, $60M - Toronto Blue Jays
After losing Matt Chapman in free agency, and without a top prospect expected to begin the year with the team, I believe the Blue Jays will look to add Candelario.
His switch-hitting bat should add more balance to the Blue Jays lineup, and he can also play first base when Orvelis Martinez is ready to be promoted from the minor leagues.
Alex's Pick: Toronto Blue Jays
Candelario found his way back to the Cubs last season, via a trade with Washington. After 22 home runs and 70 RBIs in 2023, I see Candelario heading to Toronto, who will have a hole at third base, when and if Chapman heads south to the States.
14. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Four years, $50M - Seattle Mariners
The Mariners will be down an outfielder after losing Teoscar Hernandez in free agency, and are said to be seeking "high contact" hitters.
Gurriel Jr. is a career .279 hitter, and is coming off a career year with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
For a Seattle team seeking offense, this feels like a solid fit.
Alex's Pick: New York Yankees
He's already said goodbye to Arizona on social media, so it sounds like he's all but moving from his one year in the desert. For the offseason they're expecting to have, I can't believe it's taken me this long to talk about the Yankees. While a trade for Juan Soto could be in the cards for the pinstripes, New York needs more than one outfielder this offseason. He's stellar and steady on offense and brings a strong defensive presence. The Yankees need a bat for the barren wasteland that was the middle of their line-up.
15. Jung Hoo Lee Five years, $55M - New York Yankees
With maybe the best nickname of all-time ("Grandson of the Wind"), Lee is one of the most interesting cases on the free agent market.
In 2022, he had an incredible season in the KBO, hitting .349 with 23 home runs and 113 RBI's while playing center field.
However, last year, he was struck with an ankle injury that limited him to a little over half a season.
Ultimately, it isn't clear if he will be able to play center field in the major leagues, but as a lefthanded bat with leadoff potential, Lee looks like a perfect fit for the Yankees.
Alex's Pick: San Francisco Giants
He fractured his ankle playing in the KBO in July cutting his 2023 season short, but when he's on the diamond, he shows no trouble expanding the strike zone. Scouts like his defense in center field and after his performance against the best in the World Baseball Classic, there's a lot of confidence in his ability to make it in the MLB. San Francisco has had scouts and their GM in Korea to scout him so they've definitely been doing their homework for when he's eventually posted.
16. Jorge Soler Three years, $45M - Detroit Tigers
The Tigers have already struck with one of the off-season's first moves in a trade for Mark Canha.
His righthanded bat is expected to add some balance to a left-handed Detroit order, but I don't think they will stop there.
Bringing in Soler would give the Tigers a legitimate power threat in the middle of their order to pair with 1B Spencer Torkelson, as the Tigers aim to be competitive in 2024.
Alex's Pick: Toronto Blue Jays
The former World Series MVP didn't get a qualifying offer from the Marlins. Toronto isn't happy with their short trip to the postseason, so they need to bring in some impact players. They need another bat, and they need to show Vlad Jr. that you're going to compete and you're not wasting his prime.
17. Lucas Giolito One year, $12M - New York Mets
Giolito will be looking to remake himself after a year in which he pitched for three teams and finished with 15 losses and a 4.88 ERA.
I think the Mets will look to add multiple starting pitchers, and a guy like Giolito could be a trade piece at the deadline if New York is out of contention.
From Giolito's side, it probably wouldn't hurt to rebuild his value at a spacious Citi Field in 2024 before re-entering free agency in hopes of a long term deal.
Alex's Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks
It's been a while, but Arizona will be buyers after making it to the Fall Classic. Giolito will be anxious to erase the memories of the way his 2023 season ended. Both Anaheim and Cleveland did not work out, so I think he heads to Arizona. There will be a want for him from teams, but they won't be willing to pay what they would have in 2021. There's more risk than a team going for Nola, but there could be solid upside for less dough.
18. Marcus Stroman Two years, $40M - Minnesota Twins
I believe Minnesota will be Stroman's next stop.
The team is likely facing multiple losses in its starting rotation, and while the club has said it will aim to lower its payroll in 2024, they will still aim to be competitive.
Adding Stroman shouldn't break the bank, and I think the shorter term deal fits what Minnesota is seeking to do.
Alex's Pick: Seattle Mariners
Stroman leaves $24 million on the table on his way out of Chicago. His first half of 2023 had him in the Cy Young discussions. His second half left many in baseball scratching their heads. Seattle just missed out on the postseason after a resurgent 2022. They know they need to bring in new pieces to get back on the playoff track and he could be a lower-risk, high-reward arm to induce some ground balls at T-Mobile Park.
19. Seth Lugo Three years, $40M - Boston Red Sox
I believe the Red Sox will add multiple starting pitchers this offseason, with one of them being Lugo.
After leaving the New York Mets in search of a chance to start, Lugo performed well in 26 starts as a Padre.
2024 will be his age 34 season, which I believe will limit his earning potential, and give a chance for a team to add him without paying top dollar.
For a team I expect to be very active, a mid tier signing like this should fit for Boston.
Alex's Pick: Chicago Cubs
Lugo's time in San Diego showcased that he can be a big-league starter. As a free agent, Lugo wouldn't face unreal expectations in the Cubs rotation, with some established pieces, but more arms never hurt a team.
20. J.D. Martinez Two years, $36M - Arizona Diamondbacks
After a surprise World Series run, I expect the Diamondbacks to attempt to make some key additions to their club this offseason.
Martinez, who previously played in Arizona, has said that he never wanted to leave.
In 2023, the team saw him up close and personal with the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he showed he has some pop left in the tank with 33 HR's.
This feels like a reunion that would help the Dbacks young club by giving them a veteran presence and power threat in the middle of their order.
Alex's Pick: Los Angeles Angels
A perennial all-star, teams that don't win the Ohtani sweepstakes will likely turn their attention to Martinez. As I don't see the Halos keeping Ohtani, Martinez could be a good replacement to step right in and produce.
21. Jordan Hicks Four years, $50M - Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers are another team I expect to be very active in free agency, and are facing multiple losses in the team's bullpen over the past few years.
While Hicks has struggled with injury in the past, he appeared in 65 games in 2023, showing his durability ahead of his free agent year.
As an arm that can fit in multiple roles at the back end of a bullpen, Hicks has value, and I expect a team with cash to blow, like the Dodgers, to pay for him.
Alex's Pick: Houston Astros
Houston will have to pay to keep their World Series window alive, while more teams chase after some of the pieces from that team. The Astros could be a reasonably-priced landing spot for the reliever, who's young enough that he could carve out a spot with the Houston in the post-Dusty Baker era.
22. Jack Flaherty Two years, $25M - Detroit Tigers
When Flaherty's healthy he shows flashes of being a top of the rotation arm.
Unfortunately for him, he limped to a 4.99 ERA with two teams in 2023, and will surely be seeking to rebuild some value.
I think a team like the Tigers, who will be seeking to add to the rotation without breaking the bank, would be a great fit for Flaherty.
Plus, pitching in a spacious Comerica Park should help Flaherty's numbers.
Alex's Pick: Baltimore Orioles
While Baltimore had big expectations for Flaherty after trading for him from the Cardinals at the deadline last season, it didn't go the way the O's or Flaherty wanted it to, removing him from the starting rotation and a 6.75 ERA. That performance also knocked his price down heading into free agency. If it's affordable, Baltimore can get an arm for their rotation and Flaherty can work towards getting back to form, while also working towards a bigger payday.
23. Mitch Garver Three years, $40M - Seattle Mariners
Picking Garver's landing spot is interesting because you need to have a team that would plan to use him solely at DH as his time at catcher is dwindling and his injury history suggests that that's the best move to get the most out of him.
A division rival, like the Mariners, saw what Garver is capable of during his time with the Rangers, and I believe that makes him a fit for Seattle, who could slot him in at DH.
Alex's Pick: Los Angeles Angels
The postseason stretch with the Rangers showed that the spotlight wasn't too bright for Garver on the sport's biggest stage, with three home runs and 14 RBIs in 14 games. The Angels are about to lose their DH to free agency and Garver could be a good fit for a good price for Anaheim, especially after watching him from the other dugout for the past two seasons.
24. Michael Wacha Three years, $40M - Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles are going to look to add to the team's starting rotation this offseason, and while I do believe they make a trade, I also think they will strike in the free agent market.
Obviously, Wacha is not considered a top tier arm in this class, but he's coming off back-to-back seasons with a sub-3.35 ERA and a 25-6 record the past two years.
While he may not break the bank, that's exactly the type of target the Orioles would be after, and now that the club is winning, that should make them more attractive to free agent pitching.
Alex's Pick: New York Yankees
New York has seen the hurler as a member of the Rays and Red Sox, Wacha will be a less expensive option than some of the arms available, but if the Yankees are spending big, they could find a solid number three pitcher that started 24 games last season in San Diego, with a 3.22 ERA.
25. Kenta Maeda Two years, $36M - Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers are coming into the offseason in sore need of starting pitching depth.
Why not bring back a veteran pitcher on a short term deal that the team is already familiar with?
I believe there's enough to make a reunion match for Maeda and the Dodgers.
Alex's Pick: Baltimore Orioles
We've talked about a few of the younger Japanese pitchers available, but at 36, Meada's elbow problems over the used will limit his interest. Scott Boras said more than 10 teams are interested in the pitcher, but I see the Orioles as a good option. Similar to Flaherty, it wouldn't take too much to sign him, compared to others, and it would also give him a chance to play for a contender.
26. Rhys Hoskins Two years, $36M - San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies infielder Bryce Harper decided he would like to continue his career at first base, and now, the team is likely to move on from Hoskins.
After enduring an unfortunate ACL tear in Spring Training, Hoskins is likely looking for a short term deal in attempts to score a payday down the road.
Hoskins is a California guy, and the Giants will be seeking bats to amplify their offense.
Adding Hoskins on a short term deal could be a fit for a number of teams looking to contend, including the Giants.
Alex's Pick: San Francisco Giants
With Byrce Harper's move to first base and no qualifying offer extended his way, Hoskins' time in Philly comes to a close. As he looks for his first new team in seven years, I think he goes back to where it all started. The Sacramento native grew up a Giants fan and San Fran could certainly use him.
27. Robert Stephenson Four years, $35M - Texas Rangers
I believe Texas will come into the offseason looking to add multiple relievers, and Stephenson will be one of the top options available.
After coming into his own last season, Texas could use Stephenson in both the middle and late innings.
Alex's Pick: Tampa Bay Rays
Looking for his fifth team in five years, Stephenson enjoyed his time in Tampa toward the end of the season, after being traded from Pittsburgh. He developed his slider while with the Rays, who have become something of a go-to destination for pitchers looking to 'right the ship.' I think it's worth it to him and the Rays to keep it going if the price is right for both sides.
28. Yariel Rodriguez Four years, $25M - New York Mets
Rodriguez is an interesting case because it isn't quite clear what role he will fill in the Major Leagues.
He has shown the ability to be a starter in the past, but has seen more recent action out of the bullpen.
The Mets are a team that can afford a gamble, and with Rodriguez being a relatively low risk, high reward type arm, I believe New York antes up to bring him in.
Alex's Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates
Rodriguez is another player who received a nice boost from the World Baseball Classic. The Cuban pitcher had a showcase earlier this month to show off what he can do, and half of the league's teams showed up to watch. Pittsburgh was one of those teams. The Buccos can use his arm, and ownership can show the fanbase that they're willing to make an investment and spend some money.
29. Reynaldo Lopez Three years, $27M - San Diego Padres
Lopez has become a reliever over the past two seasons and found success.
The Padres are set to lose a few bullpen arms, and the team is aiming to cut payroll this offseason.
I believe the team will seek a cheaper relief option for the back end of their bullpen, and Lopez could fit both roles well.
Alex's Pick: Seattle Mariners
Lopez should be looking for a stable clubhouse with good morale after stints with the White Sox and Angels last season. Even with some of the chaos and drama around him, he was a solid reliever. He trained in Seattle before last season, so he knows the region, and even at this level with this money, that's something.
30. Mike Clevinger Two years, $25M - Los Angeles Angels
Clevinger is a California guy, and looking to establish himself as a bona fide starter in the Majors, after starting only 46 games over the past two seasons while dealing with injuries.
The Angels will be seeking rotation help, and Clevinger may be seeking a team near his home to attempt to rebuild his value.
Alex's Pick: Los Angeles Angels
After signing with the White Sox last season, Clevinger was accused of domestic violence, and while the MLB didn't find any cause for discipline, teams around the league will certainly be thinking about that when it comes to weighing whether to sign him. He's not seen as a top-of-the-rotation pitcher these days after 24 starts with a 3.77 ERA last season, but many thought he'd land with the Angels last season, he's come back around, and I think lands in Anaheim.
31. Kevin Kiermaier Two years, $25M - Minnesota Twins
Last season, the Twins attempted to keep Byron Buxton healthy by keeping him out of center field, mostly deploying Michael Taylor out to man the grounds of Target Field.
Unfortunately for Minnesota, Buxton got hurt while serving as the DH, and Taylor is now a free agent.
Enter Kiermaier who is another stellar defender and could keep Buxton out of center field again, albeit with a lengthy injury history of his own as well.
Alex's Pick: Minnesota Twins
Injuries to some in Minnesota have created this gap for an outfielder and Kiermaier could bring a strong presence at the plate and in the field, whether it's as an insurance policy or an everyday player for the Twins. Michael A. Taylor is expected to head out of town and Byron Buxton is still a question mark on the injury front, Kiermaier could be the answer to their problems.
32. Nick Martinez Two years, $22M - Chicago Cubs
Martinez is a guy who pitched in multiple roles for the Padres over the past couple of seasons.
I believe he will enter the market as a starter, and the Chicago Cubs will be interested in him for that role, but his versatility could lead him to a bullpen role down the line, and make him attractive to multiple teams.
Alex's Pick: St. Louis Cardinals
Martinez is just one of the names that will be in the exodus of players leaving San Diego this offseason. While he wanted a starting spot in the rotation, he usually found himself coming out of the pen. Pitchers are like insurance in that you can never have too much of them. The Cardinals can get ahead of the pitching market with players like Gray and Martinez.
33. Aroldis Chapman Two years, $25M - Los Angeles Dodgers
I have the Dodgers continuing to spend, bringing in the Cuban Missile in Chapman.
The team is rebuilding its pitching staff, and adding the veteran lefthander to the back of the pen would be a nice addition for LA.
Alex's Pick: Houston Astros
Houston has run into Chapman more than a few times in recent years, between his time with the Yankees and Rangers. Houston has gotten the better of him in most cases. With Bregman and Altuve needing deals after this season, and their pitching not getting any younger, bringing in Chapman on a one-year or even two-year deal could help bring the World Series back to their part of the state.
34. Michael Lorenzen Two years, $22M - Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays are set to lose pitchers from both their rotation and bullpen, and Lorenzen's versatility would prove valuable to a club like Toronto.
Similar to Nick Martinez, I believe Lorenzen is signed as a starter, but could move to the bullpen role down the line if the Blue Jays would need.
Alex's Pick: Colorado Rockies
Colorado continues the search to look for pitchers who want to call every batter's favorite ballpark home. Lorenzen had mixed results with the Phillies. He's not perfect, but just showing up could be an improvement for the Colorado who need to bolster their rotation with steady arms.
35. Sean Manaea Two years, $20M - Milwaukee Brewers
Manaea struggled the past two seasons, and now sits with a career ERA of 4.10.
After being demoted to the bullpen last year, Manaea surely will look to rebuild his value as a starter, and as a buy low option, I believe the Brewers make a play on him to fill a need in their starting rotation.
Alex's Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates
Manaea opted out of San Francisco to head to free agency. I think the Pirates would be a good fit as they give him opportunities to start, see how far he can go, bring in a younger reliever, and then also use him out of the pen when needed.
36. Harrison Bader Two years, $20M - Los Angeles Angels
Injuries are a near constant in the Angels' outfield.
Bringing in Bader to pair with Mickey Moniak for a potential platoon in centerfield can officially move Mike Trout into one of the outfield corners in an attempt to keep him more healthy, and in the lineup more often.
Alex's Pick: New York Yankees
As the expectations went up in Bader's career, so did the list of injuries. The Yankees put him on waivers last season where he was claimed by Cincinnati during a push for the playoffs. Many experts predict he'll sign a one-year deal so he can prove himself and increase his chance at a better contract. Even after being claimed by Cincy, he still talked about wearing pinstripes again. The price shouldn't be too expensive, and if he stays healthy, could be a nice compliment to what's expected to be a busy offseason for the Yanks.
37. Tyler Mahle Two years, $20M - Baltimore Orioles
Mahle is recovering from Tommy John surgery, and likely won't be available to start the season.
I believe it will take a team like the Orioles, who are playing more in the mid tier of free agency, to make a multi-year commitment to Mahle, so he can attempt a full comeback as a starter.
If it works out for the Orioles, they'd have a near top of the rotation arm for cheap.
Alex's Pick: Detroit Tigers
Whoever is signing him has to be willing to wait, as he's coming off Tommy John surgery and won't be ready until around June, but he's only going to be 29 next season. It could be a big payoff for Detroit, which many don't see as a big landing destination, but could be willing to pay more for Mahle than other organizations.
38. Gio Urshela Two years, $18M - Colorado Rockies
Urshela has seen his power dwindle the past few seasons, until it completely plummeted last year, as he hit a lowly 2 HR's in 62 games.
The infielder has seen his performance on the downturn for a few seasons now, and what better place is there for an offensive rebound than Coors Field?
Urshela fits the Rockies as a veteran who can play multiple positions as they continue to integrate their prospects and young players into the Major Leagues.
Alex's Pick: New York Mets
Coming off a season where he suffered a pelvis fracture for the Angels, the 32-year-old will look to start over at a new landing spot and I'm thinking it's the Mets. New York needs to add some infielders, especially help at third, so the demands won't be too much on him coming off rehabbing that injury.
39. Amed Rosario Two years, $16M - Miami Marlins
Rosario had a down year in 2023, hitting .263 with 6 HR's.
Normally a run scoring threat at the top of a lineup, I believe Rosario will seek a short term deal in an attempt to get a larger payday after a few successful seasons.
Miami could surely use Rosario at one of its middle infield spots, centerfield or as a utility man off the bench.
Alex's Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates
This is another case of risk vs. reward. Some teams can afford to take a chance on Rosario, hoping he can reach the levels some hoped he would be coming up with the Mets. If he's not too zoned in on playing shortstop, he could make the move to second and complement the infield with Ke’Bryan Hayes and Oneil Cruz.
40. Whit Merrifield Two years, $18M - Chicago White Sox
Rumor has it that the White Sox have been enamored with Merrifield since his time with the Kansas City Royals.
Now, Merrifield is a free agent, and I believe the team antes up to get the veteran they are seeking.
Alex's Pick: Boston Red Sox
Merrifield and the Blue Jays both declined an option, sending him into free agency. With his time in Toronto, Boston has seen his game. He can be the leadoff hitter that gets on base which Beantown has been lacking over the past few seasons.
41. Justin Turner One year, $15M - Arizona Diamondbacks
I believe Arizona will double down on the righthanded bats, and bring another former Dodger into the fold.
Turner had a terrific season with Boston, and is another option for DH and first base for the Dbacks.
Maybe Christian Walker gets moved for pitching and opens up regular at-bats for Turner. It fits.
Alex's Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona needs to build off of the buzz they have because it's not something they've had a lot in the desert. Turner is more than familiar playing against the teams in this division and it brings a name that knows what it takes to play and win a World Series. You're not going to get the top-tier talent version of him earlier in his career, but Turner still produces every day.
42. Jason Heyward Two years, $15M - Los Angeles Dodgers
Heyward resurrected his career with the Dodgers last season, providing valuable time in the corner outfields and veteran leadership off the bench.
I believe these two will seek to continue that relationship with a two-year deal.
Alex's Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers
Heyward always seems to find his way to contenders. While Atlanta could be a landing spot for the outfielder, I think he stays in Los Angeles after hitting 15 home runs for the Boys in Blue. After signing a minor league deal with LA last season, the Dodgers used him sparingly. He might want a larger role moving forward, but this past season seemed to work out for both him and Los Angeles.
43. Yuki Matsui Two years, $14M - Chicago Cubs
After adding to their rotation, I believe there is room for the Cubs to add a lefthanded arm to their bullpen.
Matsui has struck out over 12 batters per nine innings in Japan over the course of his career, and could find himself closing out some games in Wrigley.
Alex's Pick: Chicago Cubs
Of all the pitchers expected to his free agency, Matsui is the one where there's more uncertainty. The 28-year-old said that he wants to be in the bigs next year, and Chicago has done some scouting on him already. Chicago is a good-sized market for players who have international appeal and the Cubs could use the relief pitching.
44. Frankie Montas One year, $10M - Chicago White Sox
The last two years with the Yankees have been a disaster for Montas, who has struggled through injuries.
Like many arms on this market, he will look for a spot to rebuild his value on a short term deal.
The White Sox will be seeking arms that won't break the bank, and Montas could fit here.
Alex's Pick: New York Yankees
New York knows the good and the bad about Montas and could hope for better rotation depth a second time around. Montas admitted that he wasn't completely healthy the last time he wore pinstripes, so they'd have to make sure they know what they're getting.
45. Brandon Belt One year, $12M - Tampa Bay Rays
Belt just feels like a Rays-type of player at this point in his career.
Tampa already has a steady first baseman in Yandy Diaz, but Belt could take some DH at-bats and help spell Diaz in the field, while adding some left-handed pop to the Rays lineup.
Alex's Pick: Seattle Mariners
Belt has talked about retirement this offseason, so if he doesn't hang them up, he could find his way to Seattle. The lefty would be a nice addition to their platoon approach and wouldn't demand too much from Belt.
46. Hector Neris Two years, $20M - Minnesota Twins
After two successful years with the Astros, I believe Neris will seek an opportunity to close games, and the Twins have openings at the back of their bullpen.
As an arm that won't break the bank, I believe Neris will find a new home in Minneapolis.
Alex's Pick: Boston Red Sox
Neris opted out of Houston and will be looking for a new home. His time as a set-up man and closer makes him attractive to any team, including Boston.
47. Jakob Junis Two years, $14M - Arizona Diamondbacks
Junis has resurrected his career with the Giants over the past two years, but he also spent that time flipping between the rotation and bullpen.
I think Junis will seek a chance to start, and Arizona has spots available in its rotation and bullpen, if Junis were to flame out as a starter.
Alex's Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks
The Giants moved him from starter to relief for the first time in his career, so Arizona could be a place where they give him a chance to get back into the starting rotation. It shouldn't cost the DBacks too much of investment, in either money or years, to bring his slider to Chase Field.
48. Luis Severino One year, $10M - Toronto Blue Jays
Severino has alternated between periods of dominance and injury throughout his career, the latter of which led to disastrous results in 2023.
At one point in his career, Severino was able to pitch like an ace, and that potential makes him an intriguing low risk, high reward candidate.
I believe the Blue Jays, who have seen Severino with the rival Yankees throughout his career, will look to bring him into the fold.
Alex's Pick: Chicago White Sox
An oblique injury cut the 2023 season short and it looks like the Yankees won't be involved in going after him. A 6.65 ERA is a big reason why. The White Sox could be a landing spot with less pressure, allowing him to work to get back to his 2022 form.
49. Liam Hendriks Two years, $14M - Philadelphia Phillies
Hendriks is likely out until 2025, so this is a multi-year commitment for a team that will believe he can commit to their bullpen in a season.
The Phillies, who are in need of bullpen help, could be a team to make that commitment to Hendriks in the hopes of gaining an All-Star reliever in 2025.
Alex's Pick: Philadelphia Phillies
The Aussie closer had a heck of a season. He was diagnosed with Non-Hodgkin’s Lymphoma in January, was cancer-free in April, on the mound for the White Sox in May, and then had Tommy John surgery in August. Whoever is going after him has to be built to compete in 2025, because he won't be back until then. That's why I think the Phillies will be the right fit for Henriks and can afford to wait for him to be ready.
50. Tim Anderson One year, $10M - Miami Marlins
After the most disappointing season of his career with the White Sox, I believe Anderson will seek a new, short term home where he can play the middle infield.
I believe the Marlins will look to add him into the fold, and give him a chance to leadoff everyday for the team.
Alex's Pick: Boston Red Sox
The White Sox declined the option on the face of their franchise for the past few seasons. Boston just watched a veteran infielder look elsewhere, in Justin Turner. I think adding Anderson would give them some more options at short.